In a pulsating Bundesliga fixture last night, Bayern Munich edged out Borussia Dortmund 3–2 at the Allianz Arena on October 30 2025, delivering a thrilling performance that restored faith in their title aspirations and sent a warning to their rivals. This result matched many expert football predictions, underscoring Bayern’s resilience under pressure.
Bayern took control early when Harry Kane converted a penalty in the 14th minute after a foul on teammate Jamal Musiala inside the box. Dortmund responded swiftly, with Julian Bellingham equalising in the 27th minute with a powerful long-range effort that deflected off the post and in.
Moments before half-time, Bayern retook the lead courtesy of Musiala, who cut inside and curled a beautiful finish into the top corner, making it 2–1 going into the break.
The second half saw Dortmund push for parity and they succeeded in the 64th minute when Marco Reus headed in from a corner kick to level the game 2–2.
But the deciding moment arrived in the 88th minute when Bayern’s full-back Alphonso Davies surged down the flank, delivered a pinpoint cross and Musiala fired home his second of the night — making it 3–2 and sealing the victory.
Bayern’s tactical flexibility was on full display. Manager Thomas Tuchel set up his side in a 4-2-3-1 formation, but seamlessly transitioned into a 3-4-3 during attacking phases — flooding the flanks and pressuring Dortmund’s high defensive line.
Dortmund, managed by Edin Terzić, dominated possession (61%) but lacked the clinical edge, while Bayern made their chances count and capitalised on the visitors’ risky positioning.
From a football prediction and analytics perspective, the expected-goals (xG) for the match favoured Bayern (3.1) over Dortmund (2.5), validating pre-match models that tipped Bayern to edge the encounter.
With this win, Bayern move to the top of the Bundesliga table, increasing pressure on Borussia Dortmund and other challengers such as RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen. The result may also influence betting markets and prediction models — Bayern’s odds of winning the league have improved, and the “both teams to score – yes” market remains relevant given both sides’ attacking firepower.
Australia , Brisbane